Weak articulation and high rejection weaken predictions of the

Approved on the 23rd in a special commission in the Chamber of Deputies, the administrative reform remains the biggest current nightmare of civil servants. The segment takes advantage of the interval between the last vote and the evaluation of the proposal by the plenary to bomb the measure that makes the eyes of Economy Minister Paulo Guedes, defender of the minimum State agenda, shine.

Entities that bring together civil servants have divided the energy between political articulations in the state bases and the agendas in the federal capital. The actions range from the organization of concerts and plays with popular artists to publicize the campaign against the reform and popularize the theme, to direct face-to-face meetings with parliamentarians at the Chamber’s headquarters.

The focus today is mainly on apparently undecided deputies, identified as those who did not make any public manifestation against or in favor of the PEC.

::Know what changes in the lives of public servants and the population if PEC 32 is approved::

Among the opposition members, PT, PDT, PSB, PSOL, PCdoB, REDE, Solidarity and PV closed an issue against the reform. Together, the eight acronyms gather an average of 150 votes, less than a third of the total 513 seats in the House. To approve the text, the government needs 308 votes.

There is no mathematical survey that indicates exactly which parliamentarians would be in the undecided group and the civil servants focus their batteries mainly on deputies from outside the opposition.

With the game still amorphous, the result is the lack of forecast on the day the matter will be voted on, which has not been announced so far by the president of the House, Arthur Lira (PP-AL), despite the articulation and the chorus of the pepista in recent weeks for the speed of the matter.

“It’s the pressure we’re putting on parliamentarians not to spare anyone and to categorically affirm: ‘If you go back, you won’t come back'” (12:52), attributes the general coordinator of the National Union of Federal Servants of Basic and Professional Education and Technology (Sinasefe), David Lobão.

The identification is the same as that of the opposition leader, Alessandro Molon (PSB-RJ), for whom the articulations inside and outside the Chamber help to give even more elasticity to the PEC’s processing calendar.

04.10.21 Molon_Cris (1:00) “The government does not have votes yet to vote on this in the plenary and I have a lot of doubt if at any time it will because it is an extremely unpopular reform, aggressive with civil servants, which not even the government wants to defend, but which Arthur Lira has made up his mind that he wants to approve (1:18)”, adds the pessebist, mentioning Bolsonaro’s lack of public demonstrations in favor of the text.

Molon’s statement is also a reference to the questions that hover in the political game today about the future of the proposal. It is common among parliamentarians and political analysts, for example, to read that there is no climate to vote on the PEC at this time in the Senate, where the Bolsonaro government is currently facing a less fertile political terrain than at other times.

With chances of the measure getting stuck after leaving the Chamber, the expectation of voting on the text decreases among deputies, including because of the pre-election period. Due to its high popular rejection, the PEC is seen as an anti-strategic agenda to be placed in this scenario.

“That’s why I find it difficult for the text to be voted on if the government doesn’t manage to get this vote on until more or less the end of October”, believes political analyst Marcos Verlaine, from the Inter-Union Department of Parliamentary Advice (Diap).

He highlights the arid scenario for PEC 32 to receive the green light from the plenary and mentions the government’s own dissatisfaction with the current version of the text, which preserved, for example, the stability of public servants, one of the opponents’ demands.

While the opposition struggled to dehydrate the original text during debates in the special commission, the administration continues to advocate a tougher reform. And, in the midst of this arm wrestling, deputies from different right-wing legends are still resisting the PEC and that is why they try to prioritize other measures.

“A problem that hinders the inclusion of this matter on the agenda is also that there are several other urgent matters, such as the guidelines for precatório and the fuel problem. Another thing is that the government does not have great political articulators. There is no one who goes to Congress to sit down with deputies and try to convince them. Paulo Guedes doesn’t do that, for example. The text runs the risk of no longer working in this context”, analyzes Verlaine.

Edition: Vinícius Segalla

Deixe um comentário

O seu endereço de e-mail não será publicado. Campos obrigatórios são marcados com *