Leonardo Sakamoto: Lula is the favorite among those who

Among those who learn about politics mainly through WhatsApp, 51% prefer that former president Lula (PT) win the 2022 elections, compared to 27% of those who choose the current president, Jair Bolsonaro (no party). In all, 17% prefer neither.

The data are from a survey by Quaest Consultoria and Genial Investimentos, released on Wednesday (10), which raised voting intentions for the October 2022 presidential election and evaluated the Bolsonaro government. Between November 3rd and 6th, 2,063 interviews were carried out in the national territory, with a margin of error of 2.2 percentage points.

::Lula will have meetings with progressive leaders in Europe; see the complete travel schedule::

Bolsonaro was the target of two actions in the Superior Electoral Court asking for the revocation of his ticket with General Hamilton Mourão for having benefited from massive shots on WhatsApp made against his main opponent, Fernando Haddad (PT).

The court filed the lawsuits at trial on Oct. 28, but used the case to establish an understanding that this could lead to impeachment in future elections. According to the Quaest survey, WhatsApp is the main political information channel for only 3% of Brazilians. TV remains the most important source, with 49%.

Next, appear social networks (25%), websites, blogs and news portals (9%), friends, family and acquaintances (4%), radio (3%) and print newspapers (2%).

Finally, 4% say they do not usually get information about politics. Lula marks his best result exactly among those who get information mainly on TV: 54% prefer him, 15% Bolsonaro and 23%, neither.

::With high rejection among women and the population of the Northeast, Bolsonaro’s disapproval reaches 56%::

The PT is also numerically ahead of those who get information mainly through social networks, with 37%, while Bolsonaro scores 35%. With the margin of error, there is a technical tie. In this category, 24% do not want either Lula or Bolsonaro.

Bolsonaro, in turn, appears numerically ahead among those who get information mainly through blogs, websites and news portals: 34% choose the president while 31% want their ex back. Again, here is a technical tie. And 30% say they prefer neither of them to be elected.

Among those who have the radio as their main source of information on politics, Lula has 50% and Bolsonaro, 18%. And 25% do not want one or the other. Finally, among those who prefer newspapers, Lula scores 39%, Bolsonaro 18% and neither, 32%.

Considering TV, radio and newspapers, that is, traditional communication vehicles, which together are cited by 54% as the main source of information, Bolsonaro appears with less preference than neither he nor Lula, that is, a third way.

The Quaest poll also points out that, among those who do not usually get information about politics, Lula has a preference with 36%, Bolsonaro, 13% and neither, 26%.

Voting intentions for the 2022 elections

The former president appears in first in the two scenarios evaluated by Quaest for the first round of October 2022.

With São Paulo governor João Doria (PSDB), Lula has 48%, Bolsonaro, 21%, former judge Sergio Moro (Podemos), 8%, former governor Ciro Gomes (PDT), 6%, Doria, 2% and the president of the Senate, Rodrigo Pacheco (PSD), 1%.

With Gaucho Governor Eduardo Leite (PSDB), Lula has 47%, Bolsonaro, 21%, Sergio Moro, 8%, Ciro Gomes, 7% and Rodrigo Pacheco and Eduardo Leite are tied, with 1%.

In the second round, Lula wins all, with the smallest difference appearing when he competes with Bolsonaro, with 57% to 27%.

Edition: Vinícius Segalla

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