Household consumption dropped 1.13% in September compared to the same month in 2020, according to a survey released this Friday (12) by the Brazilian Association of Supermarkets (Abras). The drop, according to the employers’ organization, is a reflection of inflation, which rose from 10% in the last 12 months. In addition, the high dollar also makes inputs for food production more expensive.
Abras’ Administrative and Institutional Vice President, Marcio Milan, says that despite the drop in the month, the organization maintains its forecast for growth of 4.5% in 2021, due to the good results of immunization against covid-19. “Vaccination is now very advanced. The economy is practically unlocked in its businesses”, he pointed out.
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Inflation and expectations for Christmas
As the supermarket association survey points out, among the 35 most consumed products in supermarkets, coffee had the biggest price increase in 2021, with accumulated inflation of 33.9% until September. Sugar registered an increase of 30.3% and eggs, 22.5%. This set of products cost, on average, BRL 684.99 in September, an increase of 1.37% compared to August, and 18.84% in 12 months.
For Christmas, the expectation of 51% of businessmen in the supermarket sector is that there is growth in sales compared to last year. While 39% expect the movement to remain at the same level as in 2020.
Among those who expect a better year-end than the previous one, 52% estimate that the increase in sales will reach 17%. There is also a forecast of job openings, with 41% of businessmen saying they are going to make temporary hires to meet Christmas demand. Abras estimates that 30,000 seasonal jobs will be created.
For Milan, with the restrictive measures against the spread of the new coronavirus coming to an end, this year’s celebrations should be bigger, with a gathering of families and friends. “We had a lot of restrictions in December of last year. This year we will be practically released. In other words, the families will be celebrating more”, he said.
* With information from Agência Brasil.
Edition: Vinícius Segalla